THE WISCONSIN SURVEY

Fall 2007

Presidential Election

 

 

Survey Information:

Random Selection, Telephone Survey

Number of Adult Wisconsin Resident Respondents:  401

Interview Period: October 30th – November 8th, 2007

Margin of Error: +/- 5% at the 95% confidence level.

 

Contact:

Wendy Scattergood

Assistant Professor of Political Science, St. Norbert College Survey Center

DePere, WI 54115

(920) 403-3491

wendy.scattergood@snc.edu

 

·        NOTE: Percentages may not add to 100% due to rounding.

 

 

If the presidential primary election were held today, would you be more likely to vote for one of the Democratic candidates, for a Republican, or for an Independent?

 

                          Democrat       ........................................................... 45%

                          Republican     ........................................................... 33%

                          Independent   ........................................................... 9%

                          Probably Won’t Vote................................................ 1%

                          Not Sure        ........................................................... 12%      

                          Refused          ........................................................... 1%

 

 

AMONG THOSE WHO SAID THEY WOULD VOTE FOR A DEMOCRAT:

 

If the presidential primary election were held today, for whom would you be most likely to vote…. (Names were rotated randomly)

 

                          Hillary Clinton 43%

                          Barack Obama.......................................................... 25%

                          John Edwards 15%

                          Bill Richardson.......................................................... 2%

                          Dennis Kucinich......................................................... 2%

                          Joe Biden       ........................................................... 1%

                          Chris Dodd    ........................................................... 1%

                          Mike Gravel   ........................................................... 0%

                          Other   (VOL)........................................................... 1%

                          Not Sure        ........................................................... 9%

                          Refused          ........................................................... 1%

 

 

 

AMONG THOSE WHO SAID THEY WOULD VOTE FOR A REPUBLICAN:

 

If the presidential primary election were held today, for whom would you be most likely to vote….(Names were rotated randomly)

 

 

                          Rudy Giuliani  32%

                          Fred Thompson......................................................... 14%

                          John McCain  ........................................................... 13%

                          Mike Huckabee......................................................... 11%

                          Mitt Romney  ........................................................... 8%

                          Ron Paul        ........................................................... 6%

                          Duncan Hunter.......................................................... 0%

                          Tom Tancredo........................................................... 0%

                          Other   (VOL)........................................................... 4%

                          Not Sure        ........................................................... 12%

                          Refused          ........................................................... 1%

 

 

 

AMONG THOSE WHO SAID THEY WOULD VOTE FOR AN INDEPENDENT, WOULDN’T VOTE, OR NOT SURE:

 

If the presidential primary election were held today, for whom would you be most likely to vote….

(Leave open-ended but can prompt w/ names from both parties above, plus “other party’s candidate” – with a prompt for which party)

 

 

·        Both “probably won’t vote” respondents reiterated this in this question

 

·        Of those who said they were “not sure,”

o       9% said Hillary Clinton,

o       4% said Barack Obama,

o       2% said John McCain,

o       2% said Rudy Giuliani

o       the rest reiterated that they were not sure.

 

·        Of those who said they would vote for an independent candidate,

 

Response

Percentage of Independent Respondents

Not Sure

53%

Ron Paul

11%

Green Party

6%

Neither a Democrat or Republican

6%

It’s too early

<3%

A conservative 3rd party

<3%

Would stay w/ Bush if could

<3%

Not aware of any independent candidates right now

<3%

Giuliani

<3%

Clinton

<3%

Edwards

<3%

Huckabee

<3%

McCain

<3%

 

 

 

ALL RESPONDENTS EXCEPT THOSE NOT SURE OR REFUSED IN PREVIOUS QUESTION.

 

What is the primary reason you feel this person would make the best president?

 

Response

Percentage

Of

Respondents

Experience

20%

Agreement on Specific Policy Issue

9%

Overall Agreement w/ Platform

8%

Is an Outsider/Fresh Perspective

5%

Agreement w/ Candidate’s Values

5%

Honesty

5%

Understands the Needs of the People

5%

Ideology

5%

We Need a Woman in the White House/

Because She’s a Woman

4%

Because of Bill Clinton

3%

Intelligent

3%

Has Vision

3%

Leadership Skills

3%

Lesser of Evils/Don’t Like the Others

2%

Sensible/Straight-forward

2%

Knowledgeable

2%

Overall Demeanor/Just Like Them

2%

Courageous/Strong

2%

Cares about the United States

2%

Not Power-Hungry/Corrupt

1%

Is Most Familiar With

1%

Can Beat the Other Party

1%

Would Do a Good Job

1%

Well-rounded

<1%

Open-minded

<1%

Is Younger

<1%

Represents Minorities

<1%

Hardest Working

<1%

Not Sure/Refused

5%

 

ALL RESPONDENTS:

For each of the following issues, please tell me whether it is Very Important, Somewhat Important, Not too Important or Not at all Important in determining your vote for president

 

 

Very Important

Somewhat Important

Not too Important

Not at all Important

Not Sure

Refused

The Iraq War

73%

20%

4%

3%

1%

<1%

National Security

68%

25%

5%

2%

1%

1%

Iran

46%

33%

13%

5%

3%

1%

Health Care

68%

26%

4%

2%

<1%

1%

International Trade

35%

44%

15%

2%

3%

1%

Immigration

49%

35%

11%

3%

2%

1%

Taxes

58%

31%

9%

1%

1%

1%

The Budget Deficit

52%

32%

10%

3%

2%

<1%