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An Interview with Don Kotecki, Director of the St. Norbert’s College Survey, and Wendy Scattergood, Assistant Professor of Political Science and St. Norbert College Survey Analyst. What is the survey mode? The
survey was conducted by telephone. Can you tell me about the sampling
technique? The
methodology employed is random digit dial, or RDD. What was the type of in-household
selection, if any? There
is a computer- assisted selection process.
Once the phone is answered, we randomly select someone in the household
to talk with. We select among the adults who currently reside in the house.
Basically, if I call you, I’ll ask how many adults reside in your house, then I may ask how many females and how many males. You will response in turn. Then the matrix is
set up to select an interviewee based on age and gender. For example, the
computer may ask for the oldest male. If a woman answers, and the oldest male
is not there, we will call back to attempt to complete the interview with the
selected adult. The name for this
process is: the Tordahl-Carter
selection method. Who were your interviewers? We
use a combination for the interviewing staff. Students made up about half the
staff; the other half is composed of community workers, for the most part
elderly or those looking to augment their income. If you weighted the data, how did you
do so? What parameters did you use? Do you weight by party identification, for
example? In
this particular survey, we did not -- and typically do not -- weight the data. We
do not try to predict who’s going to show up at the polls. It’s a philosophical issue, whether we weight
the data based on past voting demographics -- or whether we randomly sample and
take the results. In the last governor’s
election, for example, without weighted data, the St. Norbert-WPR Survey was
the closest to predicting the outcome of the election of any national or state
poll. Can you give me a general description
of likely voter modeling, if there is any? We
just ask how likely are you to vote in a given election. If we are screening for that, at the
beginning of the survey we continue interviewing the respondent if they answer
“somewhat likely” and “very likely.” We discontinue the call if the reply is
“somewhat unlikely” and “very unlikely.”
The question really is: How do you screen for likely voters, and
different states have different laws. We don’t use “Have you voted in the last
election?” or “Are you a registered voter?” because in
What is the typical sample size? We
strive to acquire 400 competed cases, which based on an infinite population
will give us results with a 95% confidence interval, plus or minus a 5% margin
of error. In terms of sponsorship, who pays for
the poll? It’s
a combination of sponsors, Next, in terms of branding, what are
the name of poll and polling partners? When
the call is placed, St Norbert College is mentioned. If people inquire further
about sponsorship, we also mention WPR.
Lastly, if your methods vary by communities
or cities, can you detail the differences? There
is no variation across the state. |