In the 2010 midterm elections, Republicans captured 11 governor’s offices previously held by Democrats, shifting state governments around the country significantly to the right.
GOP winners that year included Sam Brownback in Kansas, John Kasich in Ohio and Rick Snyder in Michigan.
They also included Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker.
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As the crowd at his 2010 Pewaukee victory rally broke out in chants of “Go, Scott, go!” Walker told them state government was about to change.
“Tonight, I want to tell every worker, every family and every business big or small in this state that you have an ally in the governor’s office,” Walker said. “Wisconsin is open for business.”
But most of the class of 2010 has moved on. Some, like Brownback, took jobs in the Trump administration. Most, like Kasich and Snyder, are term-limited.
Walker is now the only governor from that group who’s running for a third term.
| 2010 Republican Winner | 2018 Status |
|---|---|
| Terry Branstad (Iowa) | U.S. Ambassador to China |
| Sam Brownback (Kansas) | U.S. Ambassador at Large for International Religious Freedom |
| Paul LePage (Maine) | Won’t seek re-election. Term-limited. |
| Rick Snyder (Michigan) | Won’t seek re-election. Term-limited. |
| Susana Martinez (New Mexico) | Won’t seek re-election. Term-limited. |
| John Kasich (Ohio) | Won’t seek re-election. Term-limited. |
| Mary Fallin (Oklahoma) | Won’t seek re-election. Term-limited. |
| Bill Haslam (Tennessee) | Won’t seek re-election. Term-limited. |
| Matt Mead (Wyoming) | Won’t seek re-election. Term-limited. |
| Tom Corbett (Pennsylvania) | Lost to Democrat Tom Wolf in 2014. |
| Scott Walker (Wisconsin) | Running for third term. |
The circumstances for Walker’s 2018 campaign against Democratic challenger Tony Evers couldn’t be much different. Walker faces headwinds nationally that he has avoided in his previous runs for office.
“This is the first year Walker has faced re-election, or any election, with his own party controlling the White House,” said Marquette University pollster Charles Franklin. “Those are things that almost always work against the president’s party.”
Democratic ads in this race have hammered home Walker’s tenure in office. Eight years, they say, is long enough.
Some of the ads produced by a Democratic group called Stronger Wisconsin have reminded people of Walker’s brief run for president in 2015.
“So who do you think will really help our kids,” asks the narrator in one of the ads. “The politician who put his ambition ahead of our schools? Or the teacher who’s dedicated his life to making them better?”
Those ads have emphasized Evers’ early career as a science teacher, though Evers has had his share of political experience, winning three terms as state superintendent of public instruction.
Evers has emphasized education in this campaign, criticizing Walker’s 2011 school funding cuts and promising to spend more on schools if elected.
“This election is bigger than Scott Walker, and frankly, it’s bigger than me,” Evers said during his August primary victory celebration. “This election is about our kids.”
Walker has also talked about his eight years in office, but he frames it as a warning.
‘”You remember back eight years ago? This state was suffering. It was a mess. We had double-digit tax increases. Billion dollar budget deficits and record job loss,” Walker said during the first gubernatorial debate.
Wisconsin’s unions also had significantly more power eight years ago before Walker took office and signed a law that dramatically diminished their power to influence elections.
The close race this year between Walker and Evers has pushed both candidates into unfamiliar territory.
After saying earlier in the race that he was open to raising taxes, Evers has been promoting a substantial new income tax cut.
And with polls showing the Affordable Care Act’s protections for pre-existing conditions as extremely popular, Walker has promised to safeguard them in state law.
“So enough with the scare tactics,” Walker said in a TV ad he cut to promote his position. “In Wisconsin, pre-existing conditions are covered. And as long as I’m governor, they always will be.”
That ad caught former President Barack Obama’s attention when he visited Milwaukee to campaign for Evers. Obama noted Walker was making the claim at the same time he was authorizing Wisconsin’s participation in a lawsuit that seeks to overturn the ACA.
“That is some kind of gall,” Obama said. “That is some kind of chutzpah. But let’s also call it what it is. It is a lie.”
President Donald Trump has also gotten involved in Walker’s race, and despite his relatively poor approval rating with independent voters, Wisconsin Republicans have welcomed him.
Trump and Walker appeared together at a Mosinee rally last month where Trump praised Walker for helping bring Foxconn to Wisconsin, and called the governor a great friend.
“Scott fights every day for you, and now we need you to fight for him,” Trump said. “And all you have to do is go out and vote.”
The high-profile visits have continued. Vice President Mike Pence campaigned in Wisconsin over the weekend. Former Vice President Joe Biden visited days before that.
Walker’s attempt at a rare third term in office has not gone unnoticed, and it’s not coming easy.
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