New reports of COVID-19 cases continue to decline in Wisconsin, based on the latest data from the state Department of Health Services. But DHS officials warn the state continues to see a significant number of new cases daily.
DHS reported 4,114 new cases of the disease Tuesday, bringing the average for the past seven days to 3,876 daily cases. One week ago, the average was 3,905 daily cases. On Tuesday, 5,477 tested negative.
There were 68 new deaths from COVID-19 reported Tuesday.
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Of the people who got tested for COVID-19 over the past week, 30.5 percent were positive for the disease, according to DHS. That rate has been declining slightly over the last few days.
The positivity rate is often read by public health officials as a measure of overall testing levels. A high rate could indicate that testing in the state is limited, and skewed toward those already flagged as potentially having COVID-19. A lower rate could indicate testing is more widespread. Changes in the test positivity rate can also speak to COVID-19’s spread, if the size and makeup of the testing pool stays consistent.
On Sept. 30, DHS also introduced an alternative positivity rate, one that measures the percentage of tests that are positive, instead of the percentage of people who get a positive result. The new metric takes into account people who have been tested multiple times. The seven-day average for that number is at 13.1 percent.
During a media briefing on Tuesday, DHS Secretary Andrea Palm said the high test positivity rate indicates that the state is not doing enough testing to understand the true prevalence of the virus. She said officials are concerned to see a decline in the number of people getting tested for the virus in recent weeks.
“We’re all sort of scratching our heads about it considering the high level of new daily cases that we continue to see,” Palm said. “Often that motivates people to get tested because they understand the intense community spread, the prevalence in communities. They understand that they’ve been potentially in contact with positive cases or they know that they’ve been in contact with positive cases.”
Traci DeSalvo, acting director of the DHS Bureau of Communicable Diseases, said the downward trend in new cases is a positive sign for the state. But she warned the average number of new cases is still incredibly high compared to earlier in the year.
“We are still seeing significant numbers of cases with the seven-day average near 4,000 cases. And you may remember back in the summer when we reached the 1,000 case per day average, that seemed very high,” DeSalvo said.
According to the Wisconsin Hospital Association, there were 1,566 COVID-19 patients hospitalized as of Monday. A total of 18,500 people have been hospitalized because of the disease, or 4.4 percent of all positive cases.
The latest figures bring the overall total of positive cases in Wisconsin to 418,446, according to DHS. A total of 3,806 people in Wisconsin have died from COVID-19.
COVID-19 activity varies from county to county. The latest activity data from DHS, released Wednesday, showed 41 counties had a “critically high level” of COVID-19 activity, while 31 were listed as having a “very high” level of activity. That’s a notable change from the previous week when 65 counties were listed as “critically high”. Wisconsin overall had a “critically high” level of activity, according to DHS.
COVID-19 activity designations are based on the number of new cases per a county’s population over a 14-day period, as well as whether there’s an upward or downward trend in new cases.
As of Wednesday, all of Wisconsin’s regions were seeing a downward trend in cases and three — the northeast, Fox Valley and south central regions — moved from “critically high” levels of activity to “very high.”
Wisconsin’s daily testing capacity — based on the availability of test supplies and adequate staffing — has grown from 120 available lab tests in early March to 59,695 as of Tuesday. The number of actual people with new test results reported Tuesday was 9,591.
A total of 2,626,396 people have been tested over the course of the pandemic. Of those, 2,207,950 have tested negative.
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